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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.73+5.87vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+6.97vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.90+4.42vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.09+5.89vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.55-0.47vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.44+3.63vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University0.75+4.27vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.44+1.83vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University0.95+1.01vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.07-2.70vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.58-3.58vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.77-5.01vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.04-6.95vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University0.55-2.08vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.37-2.52vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles0.24-2.63vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.25-2.42vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University0.31-5.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.87Tulane University1.739.2%1st Place
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8.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.0%1st Place
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7.42Cornell University1.907.5%1st Place
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9.89North Carolina State University1.094.0%1st Place
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4.53Yale University2.5516.6%1st Place
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9.63University of South Florida1.444.3%1st Place
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11.27Roger Williams University0.752.9%1st Place
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9.83Tufts University1.444.3%1st Place
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10.01Old Dominion University0.953.4%1st Place
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7.3Bowdoin College2.077.5%1st Place
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7.42Boston College1.588.0%1st Place
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6.99University of Pennsylvania1.777.3%1st Place
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6.05U. S. Naval Academy2.0411.0%1st Place
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11.92Northwestern University0.552.3%1st Place
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12.48Boston University0.372.3%1st Place
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13.37University of California at Los Angeles0.241.6%1st Place
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14.58SUNY Maritime College-0.250.7%1st Place
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12.45Northeastern University0.311.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Benson | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Lilly Myers | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.6% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 5.5% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Libby Redmond | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Marina Hutzler | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.6% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 11.6% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 18.2% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 33.6% |
| Adeline Schoen | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.