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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.08+5.41vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University-1.38+6.22vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.79+4.08vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+3.31vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.92+1.12vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.37+3.01vs Predicted
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7Fordham University0.54+6.28vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-0.47vs Predicted
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9George Washington University0.96+1.41vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.81-3.22vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont-0.13+2.55vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara0.57-0.34vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-2.93vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.10-7.76vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.83-4.18vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii1.05-5.81vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.12-3.26vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.39-5.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41Stanford University2.0810.3%1st Place
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8.22Jacksonville University-1.387.6%1st Place
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7.08Harvard University1.799.0%1st Place
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7.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.0%1st Place
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6.12Brown University1.9211.3%1st Place
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9.01Georgetown University1.375.5%1st Place
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13.28Fordham University0.541.3%1st Place
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7.53St. Mary's College of Maryland1.767.3%1st Place
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10.41George Washington University0.964.0%1st Place
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6.78College of Charleston1.818.8%1st Place
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13.55University of Vermont-0.131.6%1st Place
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11.66University of California at Santa Barbara0.572.4%1st Place
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10.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.1%1st Place
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6.24Dartmouth College2.1010.1%1st Place
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10.82Connecticut College0.833.1%1st Place
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10.19University of Hawaii1.053.7%1st Place
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13.74University of Rhode Island0.121.3%1st Place
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12.56University of Michigan0.391.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Marbella Marlo | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Bayless | 11.3% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 17.8% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
| Emma Tallman | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 23.8% |
| harriet jessup | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Sarah Young | 10.1% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.3% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Sadie Thomas | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 16.0% | 21.6% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.