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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+4.09vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+2.68vs Predicted
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3University of Buffalo2.44+3.02vs Predicted
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4Columbia University2.55+1.77vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.25-0.85vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-2.77vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.74-1.77vs Predicted
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8Colgate University1.10+1.65vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy1.22+0.37vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester-0.35+2.94vs Predicted
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11Hamilton College-0.01+1.29vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University0.38-1.36vs Predicted
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14Queen's University1.28-4.66vs Predicted
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15University of Toronto-0.21-2.38vs Predicted
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16University of Rochester-0.35-3.06vs Predicted
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17Webb Institute1.71-9.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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4.68U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.1%1st Place
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6.02University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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5.77Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
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4.15Fordham University3.250.2%1st Place
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3.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.2%1st Place
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5.23SUNY Maritime College2.740.1%1st Place
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9.65Colgate University1.100.0%1st Place
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9.37U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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12.94University of Rochester-0.350.0%1st Place
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12.29Hamilton College-0.010.0%1st Place
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11.64Syracuse University0.380.0%1st Place
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9.34Queen's University1.280.0%1st Place
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12.62University of Toronto-0.210.0%1st Place
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12.94University of Rochester-0.350.0%1st Place
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7.99Webb Institute1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Howes | 10.9% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 11.8% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 16.8% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louis Padnos | 23.9% | 20.5% | 17.9% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mike Carr | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Klik | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Chang | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 20.8% | 35.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Acosta | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 22.3% | 21.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 19.4% | 17.7% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sherar | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Kozicz | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 16.7% | 19.9% | 27.9% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Chang | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 20.8% | 35.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Fast | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.