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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.74+4.23vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+1.12vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+1.71vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.77+1.21vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.25-0.81vs Predicted
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6University of Buffalo2.44+0.11vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy1.22+2.28vs Predicted
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8Queen's University1.28+1.21vs Predicted
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9Columbia University2.55-3.29vs Predicted
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10Colgate University1.10-0.26vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.71-2.89vs Predicted
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12Hamilton College-0.01+0.42vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester-0.35+0.02vs Predicted
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14University of Toronto-0.21-1.41vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University0.38-3.65vs Predicted
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16University of Rochester-0.35-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23SUNY Maritime College2.740.1%1st Place
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3.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.3%1st Place
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4.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.1%1st Place
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5.21Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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4.19Fordham University3.250.2%1st Place
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6.11University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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9.28U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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9.21Queen's University1.280.0%1st Place
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5.71Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.74Colgate University1.100.0%1st Place
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8.11Webb Institute1.710.0%1st Place
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12.42Hamilton College-0.010.0%1st Place
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13.02University of Rochester-0.350.0%1st Place
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12.59University of Toronto-0.210.0%1st Place
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11.35Syracuse University0.380.0%1st Place
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13.02University of Rochester-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Carr | 10.7% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louis Padnos | 26.4% | 22.1% | 16.1% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 10.9% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Howes | 10.0% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 16.3% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sherar | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Klik | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Fast | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Acosta | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 17.7% | 22.6% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Chang | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 22.1% | 35.9% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Kozicz | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 16.1% | 21.3% | 26.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 16.0% | 17.5% | 17.5% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Chang | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 22.1% | 35.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.