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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.58+6.52vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.04+3.82vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+5.57vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.90+3.21vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.55-0.50vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.44+3.29vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.37+5.28vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.75+2.84vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University0.95+0.41vs Predicted
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10Tulane University1.73-3.49vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.31+1.50vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.09-2.24vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.45-5.02vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.44-4.37vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College0.78-5.57vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University0.55-4.11vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles0.24-3.68vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-0.25-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.52Boston College1.586.9%1st Place
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5.82U. S. Naval Academy2.0411.6%1st Place
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8.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.606.0%1st Place
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7.21Cornell University1.908.1%1st Place
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4.5Yale University2.5515.6%1st Place
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9.29University of South Florida1.444.3%1st Place
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12.28Boston University0.372.4%1st Place
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10.84Roger Williams University0.753.9%1st Place
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9.41Old Dominion University0.954.7%1st Place
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6.51Tulane University1.7310.3%1st Place
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12.5Northeastern University0.312.1%1st Place
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9.76North Carolina State University1.094.3%1st Place
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7.98University of Pennsylvania1.456.3%1st Place
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9.63Tufts University1.444.8%1st Place
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9.43Bowdoin College0.784.5%1st Place
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11.89Northwestern University0.551.8%1st Place
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13.32University of California at Los Angeles0.241.4%1st Place
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14.55SUNY Maritime College-0.251.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
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Libby Redmond | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Eva Blauvelt | 11.6% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Emma Snead | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
Lilly Myers | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
Emma Cowles | 15.6% | 17.6% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Sydney Monahan | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
Lucy Paskoff | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.6% |
Michaela ODonnell | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 4.7% |
Elizabeth Gildea | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
Caroline Benson | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Adeline Schoen | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 12.9% |
Isabella du Plessis | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
Madeleine Rice | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
Chloe Holder | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
Teagan Cunningham | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
Marina Hutzler | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% |
Mary Jane Howland | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 16.2% | 18.8% |
Rebecca Runyan | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 15.7% | 32.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.