← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.08+1.92vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii3.36+0.58vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Irvine2.22+1.36vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-0.09vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Los Angeles1.72+0.15vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley1.01+0.21vs Predicted
-
7University of Southern California2.57-3.17vs Predicted
-
9California State University Monterey Bay0.32-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.92Stanford University3.080.2%1st Place
-
2.58University of Hawaii3.360.3%1st Place
-
4.36University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
-
3.91University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
-
5.15University of California at Los Angeles1.720.1%1st Place
-
6.21University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
-
3.83University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
-
7.04California State University Monterey Bay0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliza Richartz | 24.1% | 23.3% | 19.4% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 29.8% | 25.6% | 18.9% | 13.3% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Hobson | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 17.6% | 18.2% | 11.0% | 3.4% |
| Keely Scates | 12.5% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 16.6% | 18.7% | 12.4% | 7.1% | 2.1% |
| Carmen Bozina | 5.6% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 21.9% | 21.1% | 8.0% |
| Lauren Amery | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 16.2% | 30.4% | 26.8% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 13.8% | 14.4% | 16.6% | 17.5% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 6.9% | 1.6% |
| Janet Rumsey | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 8.3% | 20.8% | 57.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.