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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.59+1.68vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.46+0.63vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52+1.40vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy-0.65+0.68vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont-0.34-1.02vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.58-1.49vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-1.89-0.53vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.97-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68Fairfield University0.5927.3%1st Place
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2.63Salve Regina University0.4629.2%1st Place
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4.4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.529.2%1st Place
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4.68Maine Maritime Academy-0.658.1%1st Place
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3.98University of Vermont-0.3412.4%1st Place
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4.51Bates College-0.589.0%1st Place
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6.47Brandeis University-1.892.9%1st Place
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6.65Middlebury College-1.971.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 27.3% | 25.1% | 20.5% | 13.7% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Emil Tullberg | 29.2% | 25.5% | 18.4% | 13.5% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Marshall Rodes | 9.2% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 16.4% | 17.3% | 17.7% | 11.7% | 3.7% |
| Griffin Stolp | 8.1% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 18.4% | 19.8% | 13.2% | 6.2% |
| Ocean Smith | 12.4% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 8.2% | 2.4% |
| Harrison Nash | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 17.2% | 18.3% | 11.7% | 5.5% |
| Miles Laker | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 12.6% | 26.8% | 38.3% |
| Aengus Onken | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 26.2% | 43.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.