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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.92+5.28vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.79+5.08vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+4.25vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.08+2.55vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University-1.38+3.35vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.37+3.11vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.13+6.67vs Predicted
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8George Washington University0.96+2.41vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.81-2.34vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.83+0.59vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-0.75vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.10-5.62vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.12+0.53vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan0.39-1.39vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara0.57-3.34vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii1.05-5.79vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-9.85vs Predicted
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18Fordham University0.54-4.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.28Brown University1.9210.1%1st Place
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7.08Harvard University1.799.1%1st Place
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7.25St. Mary's College of Maryland1.769.2%1st Place
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6.55Stanford University2.0810.0%1st Place
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8.35Jacksonville University-1.385.1%1st Place
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9.11Georgetown University1.374.8%1st Place
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13.67University of Vermont-0.131.5%1st Place
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10.41George Washington University0.963.6%1st Place
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6.66College of Charleston1.819.6%1st Place
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10.59Connecticut College0.833.7%1st Place
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10.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.973.9%1st Place
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6.38Dartmouth College2.109.4%1st Place
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13.53University of Rhode Island0.122.1%1st Place
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12.61University of Michigan0.392.5%1st Place
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11.66University of California at Santa Barbara0.573.3%1st Place
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10.21University of Hawaii1.053.5%1st Place
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7.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.0%1st Place
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13.26Fordham University0.541.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bayless | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Marbella Marlo | 9.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Stephanie Houck | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Riley Kloc | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 22.1% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Emma Tallman | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Sarah Young | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sadie Thomas | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 22.1% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 13.8% |
| harriet jessup | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 6.8% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.0% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.