Race 10A

north-fall-1

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Alecsander Tayler 17.5% 16.7% 15.5% 12.3% 11.9% 9.7% 5.7% 5.0% 2.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louis Padnos 24.9% 23.1% 16.1% 12.6% 9.6% 5.6% 4.3% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Duncan Howes 9.5% 10.4% 13.3% 11.4% 12.3% 10.7% 10.7% 9.5% 6.0% 3.6% 1.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Griffin Orr 7.0% 7.6% 8.5% 10.5% 10.3% 10.0% 11.2% 11.2% 10.8% 6.5% 4.4% 1.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Bates 11.6% 12.4% 12.2% 11.9% 13.1% 12.9% 8.5% 6.9% 5.0% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Beckmann 2.2% 2.8% 2.3% 2.9% 3.0% 4.2% 6.7% 8.1% 9.8% 15.6% 13.6% 13.1% 9.3% 4.9% 1.5% 0.0%
Matthew Sherar 2.6% 2.6% 3.1% 3.7% 3.7% 4.5% 7.7% 7.9% 11.9% 13.3% 13.2% 11.1% 8.3% 4.7% 1.7% 0.0%
Conor Cashel 8.3% 8.4% 9.7% 8.9% 10.5% 11.7% 11.5% 10.1% 9.5% 6.0% 3.2% 1.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sara Klik 1.5% 1.4% 2.1% 3.2% 3.2% 4.5% 7.5% 6.9% 10.1% 13.1% 14.1% 14.1% 11.2% 5.6% 1.5% 0.0%
Mike Carr 9.3% 9.6% 9.8% 14.0% 11.0% 11.8% 10.2% 9.1% 6.9% 4.2% 2.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Fast 3.3% 3.0% 5.0% 5.1% 6.5% 8.0% 8.0% 12.1% 10.8% 10.6% 12.6% 7.5% 4.9% 1.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Jeremy Acosta 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 1.7% 1.3% 1.9% 3.4% 6.1% 8.0% 12.6% 18.1% 23.5% 20.0% 0.0%
Kelly Chang 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 1.9% 2.1% 4.0% 3.6% 5.4% 7.9% 13.8% 22.2% 36.2% 0.0%
Nicholas Woviotis 0.7% 0.9% 1.0% 1.2% 2.0% 3.0% 2.6% 4.4% 4.4% 8.2% 11.1% 17.5% 16.8% 15.7% 10.5% 0.0%
Kelly Chang 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 1.9% 2.1% 4.0% 3.6% 5.4% 7.9% 13.8% 22.2% 36.2% 0.0%
Rachel Kozicz 0.5% 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 2.2% 2.8% 3.4% 3.7% 7.6% 11.0% 15.4% 21.4% 27.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.