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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.90+6.24vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.04+3.83vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.95+6.69vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.44+5.59vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+3.78vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.58+1.61vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.73-0.34vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.31+4.45vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.44-0.06vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.09-0.35vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.45-2.91vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.55-0.14vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.75-2.12vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.55-9.64vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College0.78-5.37vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles0.24-2.81vs Predicted
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17Boston University0.37-4.91vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-0.25-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.24Cornell University1.907.0%1st Place
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5.83U. S. Naval Academy2.0411.3%1st Place
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9.69Old Dominion University0.955.1%1st Place
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9.59Tufts University1.445.0%1st Place
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8.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.6%1st Place
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7.61Boston College1.587.0%1st Place
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6.66Tulane University1.739.2%1st Place
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12.45Northeastern University0.312.6%1st Place
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8.94University of South Florida1.445.1%1st Place
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9.65North Carolina State University1.094.0%1st Place
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8.09University of Pennsylvania1.456.3%1st Place
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11.86Northwestern University0.552.3%1st Place
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10.88Roger Williams University0.753.0%1st Place
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4.36Yale University2.5516.7%1st Place
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9.63Bowdoin College0.784.7%1st Place
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13.19University of California at Los Angeles0.241.8%1st Place
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12.09Boston University0.372.4%1st Place
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14.46SUNY Maritime College-0.250.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lilly Myers | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Chloe Holder | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Emma Snead | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Benson | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Adeline Schoen | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 11.6% |
| Sydney Monahan | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| Madeleine Rice | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Marina Hutzler | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.4% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 5.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.7% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 19.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 10.0% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 32.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.