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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont-0.13+12.51vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+7.89vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+4.51vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.10+2.32vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.37+3.98vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.24+4.24vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University-1.38+1.67vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-0.52vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.08-2.28vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.81-3.18vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.04-4.64vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.12+1.65vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.13-2.85vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.09-3.96vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan0.04-1.35vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.19-2.27vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara0.57-5.49vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.10-12.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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13.51University of Vermont-0.131.4%1st Place
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9.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.1%1st Place
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7.51St. Mary's College of Maryland1.767.4%1st Place
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6.32Dartmouth College2.1010.2%1st Place
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8.98Georgetown University1.376.0%1st Place
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10.24George Washington University1.243.5%1st Place
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8.67Jacksonville University-1.385.7%1st Place
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7.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.8%1st Place
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6.72Stanford University2.0810.0%1st Place
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6.82College of Charleston1.819.0%1st Place
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6.36Brown University2.0410.2%1st Place
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13.65University of Rhode Island0.121.4%1st Place
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10.15Fordham University1.134.0%1st Place
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10.04University of Hawaii1.093.2%1st Place
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13.65University of Michigan0.041.1%1st Place
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13.73Connecticut College0.191.8%1st Place
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11.51University of California at Santa Barbara0.572.8%1st Place
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5.78Harvard University2.1011.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 16.2% | 19.6% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Young | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Emily Allen | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Stephanie Houck | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sadie Thomas | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 20.9% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| Morgan Carew | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Caroline Grin | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 21.1% |
| Miya Preyer | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 20.9% |
| harriet jessup | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.