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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+3.55vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.07+5.33vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.73+3.76vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University0.62+7.25vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.04+1.05vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.37+6.22vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.58+0.60vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.31+4.64vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+0.03vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.77-3.24vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.44-1.07vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.90-4.59vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.95-3.00vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.09-4.11vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.44-5.58vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College-0.25-1.40vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University0.55-4.99vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles0.24-4.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.55Yale University2.5516.0%1st Place
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7.33Bowdoin College2.078.0%1st Place
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6.76Tulane University1.738.7%1st Place
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11.25Roger Williams University0.622.5%1st Place
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6.05U. S. Naval Academy2.0410.1%1st Place
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12.22Boston University0.372.2%1st Place
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7.6Boston College1.587.0%1st Place
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12.64Northeastern University0.311.9%1st Place
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9.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.3%1st Place
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6.76University of Pennsylvania1.778.6%1st Place
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9.93Tufts University1.444.2%1st Place
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7.41Cornell University1.908.3%1st Place
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10.0Old Dominion University0.954.0%1st Place
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9.89North Carolina State University1.094.2%1st Place
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9.42University of South Florida1.444.2%1st Place
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14.6SUNY Maritime College-0.251.2%1st Place
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12.01Northwestern University0.552.1%1st Place
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13.55University of California at Los Angeles0.241.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 16.0% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Benson | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 9.3% |
| Libby Redmond | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Adeline Schoen | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 12.8% |
| Emma Snead | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Lilly Myers | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Sydney Monahan | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 16.6% | 33.7% |
| Marina Hutzler | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 8.0% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.