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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.93+7.01vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.46+6.34vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.34+6.56vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.12+7.48vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+6.38vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.01+1.72vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.98+4.97vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.20-0.38vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.85-1.41vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-1.20vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.99-0.68vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.90-4.55vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-3.68vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.79-3.73vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.10-1.67vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.29-6.14vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.42-6.08vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.76-10.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.01Stanford University2.937.4%1st Place
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8.34Tulane University2.466.6%1st Place
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9.56Boston College2.345.2%1st Place
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11.48Harvard University2.123.0%1st Place
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11.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.463.0%1st Place
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7.72U. S. Naval Academy3.018.4%1st Place
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11.97Fordham University1.982.6%1st Place
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7.62Yale University3.208.0%1st Place
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7.59Brown University2.858.3%1st Place
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8.8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.7%1st Place
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10.32Tufts University1.995.2%1st Place
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7.45Dartmouth College2.907.6%1st Place
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9.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.2%1st Place
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10.27Boston University1.794.5%1st Place
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13.33University of Rhode Island2.101.8%1st Place
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9.86Connecticut College2.295.1%1st Place
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10.92Roger Williams University2.423.7%1st Place
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7.05Georgetown University2.768.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.0% |
| Jake Vickers | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% |
| JC Hermus | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Porter Kavle | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 13.4% |
| Shawn Harvey | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% |
| Aidan naughton | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 26.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% |
| Jack Reiter | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.