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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.85+6.73vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.46+6.30vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.93+4.82vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.76+3.03vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.10+8.17vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.42+5.12vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.29+2.87vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.20-0.27vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+2.42vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.79+0.09vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.34-1.66vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-2.56vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.90-5.63vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.98-2.09vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.99-4.49vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.01-8.51vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-7.91vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.12-6.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.73Brown University2.857.4%1st Place
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8.3Tulane University2.466.2%1st Place
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7.82Stanford University2.937.6%1st Place
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7.03Georgetown University2.769.2%1st Place
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13.17University of Rhode Island2.102.2%1st Place
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11.12Roger Williams University2.424.2%1st Place
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9.87Connecticut College2.294.5%1st Place
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7.73Yale University3.208.0%1st Place
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11.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.462.9%1st Place
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10.09Boston University1.794.9%1st Place
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9.34Boston College2.345.7%1st Place
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9.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.5%1st Place
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7.37Dartmouth College2.908.1%1st Place
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11.91Fordham University1.982.7%1st Place
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10.51Tufts University1.993.7%1st Place
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7.49U. S. Naval Academy3.019.0%1st Place
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9.09St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.1%1st Place
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11.56Harvard University2.123.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Jack Parkin | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Jack Reiter | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 23.9% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% |
| Shawn Harvey | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Jake Vickers | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Porter Kavle | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 14.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% |
| JC Hermus | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.