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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.76+6.30vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.90+5.42vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.85+4.81vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.93+4.08vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.46+3.58vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.20+1.76vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.10+6.59vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.31+1.05vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.79+1.36vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.42+1.20vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.01-3.14vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-2.45vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46-1.41vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.98-2.05vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-6.00vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.34-6.43vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.29-7.26vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.99-7.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.3Georgetown University2.769.2%1st Place
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7.42Dartmouth College2.908.2%1st Place
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7.81Brown University2.857.3%1st Place
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8.08Stanford University2.937.4%1st Place
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8.58Tulane University2.467.3%1st Place
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7.76Yale University3.206.7%1st Place
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13.59University of Rhode Island2.101.8%1st Place
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9.05Harvard University2.315.3%1st Place
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10.36Boston University1.794.2%1st Place
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11.2Roger Williams University2.423.6%1st Place
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7.86U. S. Naval Academy3.017.9%1st Place
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9.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.0%1st Place
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11.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.463.2%1st Place
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11.95Fordham University1.983.4%1st Place
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9.0St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.3%1st Place
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9.57Boston College2.345.1%1st Place
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9.74Connecticut College2.295.5%1st Place
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10.58Tufts University1.993.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Jack Parkin | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Cameron Giblin | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 28.5% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% |
| JC Hermus | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% |
| Jake Vickers | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.3% |
| Porter Kavle | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 13.2% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 3.7% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.