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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.90+6.52vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.01+5.84vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+6.76vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.20+3.73vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.46+3.64vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.29+4.06vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.34+2.56vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.85-0.14vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.76-1.73vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+1.55vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-1.92vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.93-3.97vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.98-1.10vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.10-0.61vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.31-6.05vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.99-5.30vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.42-5.92vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.79-7.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.52Dartmouth College2.908.2%1st Place
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7.84U. S. Naval Academy3.018.4%1st Place
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9.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.0%1st Place
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7.73Yale University3.207.4%1st Place
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8.64Tulane University2.466.1%1st Place
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10.06Connecticut College2.293.9%1st Place
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9.56Boston College2.345.7%1st Place
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7.86Brown University2.857.4%1st Place
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7.27Georgetown University2.769.1%1st Place
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11.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.463.4%1st Place
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9.08St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.9%1st Place
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8.03Stanford University2.937.3%1st Place
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11.9Fordham University1.983.1%1st Place
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13.39University of Rhode Island2.102.1%1st Place
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8.95Harvard University2.315.0%1st Place
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10.7Tufts University1.993.6%1st Place
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11.08Roger Williams University2.422.9%1st Place
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10.11Boston University1.795.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| JC Hermus | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Jack Reiter | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Jake Vickers | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.6% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Jack Parkin | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Porter Kavle | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 14.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 28.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.