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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine2.34+2.72vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California3.12+0.61vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.15+1.14vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.92-1.07vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.18+0.77vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.13-1.90vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.20-1.25vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.19-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72University of California at Irvine2.340.1%1st Place
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2.61University of Southern California3.120.3%1st Place
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4.14University of California at Santa Barbara2.150.1%1st Place
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2.93Stanford University2.920.2%1st Place
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5.77University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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4.1University of Hawaii2.130.1%1st Place
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5.75University of California at Los Angeles1.200.0%1st Place
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6.98California State University Monterey Bay0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blair Johnston | 14.0% | 17.6% | 15.2% | 18.4% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 6.5% | 1.6% |
| Emily Dahl | 30.9% | 22.9% | 20.7% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Morgane Renoir | 11.4% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 18.5% | 16.2% | 8.3% | 2.8% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 23.9% | 21.7% | 19.9% | 16.9% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Megan Hayes | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 13.5% | 19.1% | 28.1% | 16.9% |
| Jaclyn McLoughlin | 10.5% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 18.0% | 14.9% | 8.6% | 2.7% |
| Shannon Walker | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 18.9% | 25.4% | 19.3% |
| Maryan Gonnerman | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 9.4% | 20.2% | 56.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.