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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.59+1.68vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy-0.65+2.62vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.46-0.45vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52+0.47vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.58-0.46vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-0.34-1.93vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-1.97-0.36vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University-1.89-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68Fairfield University0.5926.2%1st Place
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4.62Maine Maritime Academy-0.658.8%1st Place
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2.55Salve Regina University0.4631.4%1st Place
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4.47University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.529.8%1st Place
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4.54Bates College-0.588.6%1st Place
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4.07University of Vermont-0.3410.4%1st Place
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6.64Middlebury College-1.972.1%1st Place
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6.43Brandeis University-1.892.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 26.2% | 26.4% | 20.2% | 13.7% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Griffin Stolp | 8.8% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 17.0% | 17.8% | 15.0% | 5.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 31.4% | 24.8% | 19.6% | 12.7% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Marshall Rodes | 9.8% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 17.5% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 4.4% |
| Harrison Nash | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 19.4% | 12.1% | 5.1% |
| Ocean Smith | 10.4% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 17.5% | 17.4% | 14.4% | 8.5% | 2.4% |
| Aengus Onken | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 23.1% | 45.2% |
| Miles Laker | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 14.2% | 25.4% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.