← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.90+6.61vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy3.01+5.71vs Predicted
-
3Tulane University2.46+5.16vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University2.76+3.15vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.10+8.38vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+5.35vs Predicted
-
7Boston University1.79+3.16vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University2.42+3.18vs Predicted
-
9Stanford University2.93-0.75vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.03+1.63vs Predicted
-
11Yale University3.20-3.17vs Predicted
-
12Brown University2.85-4.13vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-3.91vs Predicted
-
14Fordham University1.98-1.96vs Predicted
-
15Harvard University2.31-6.15vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College2.29-5.95vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-7.72vs Predicted
-
18Boston College2.34-8.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.61Dartmouth College2.908.1%1st Place
-
7.71U. S. Naval Academy3.017.7%1st Place
-
8.16Tulane University2.467.7%1st Place
-
7.15Georgetown University2.769.6%1st Place
-
13.38University of Rhode Island2.102.1%1st Place
-
11.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.462.2%1st Place
-
10.16Boston University1.794.2%1st Place
-
11.18Roger Williams University2.423.5%1st Place
-
8.25Stanford University2.936.1%1st Place
-
11.63Tufts University2.033.5%1st Place
-
7.83Yale University3.207.7%1st Place
-
7.87Brown University2.858.5%1st Place
-
9.09St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.5%1st Place
-
12.04Fordham University1.983.0%1st Place
-
8.85Harvard University2.315.8%1st Place
-
10.05Connecticut College2.294.6%1st Place
-
9.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.174.8%1st Place
-
9.41Boston College2.345.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| JC Hermus | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Cameron Giblin | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Jack Reiter | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 26.4% |
| Jake Vickers | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% |
| Jack Parkin | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.5% |
| Shawn Harvey | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Porter Kavle | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 14.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.3% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.