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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.20+6.81vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.79+8.29vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.01+4.72vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.90+3.59vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.93+2.99vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.85+1.90vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.34+2.51vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+3.39vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.42+2.21vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.46-1.42vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.31-2.14vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.29-1.88vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.10+0.17vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.03-2.67vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-5.34vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.76-8.96vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-8.18vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.98-5.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.81Yale University3.207.2%1st Place
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10.29Boston University1.793.9%1st Place
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7.72U. S. Naval Academy3.018.6%1st Place
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7.59Dartmouth College2.907.0%1st Place
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7.99Stanford University2.937.8%1st Place
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7.9Brown University2.858.1%1st Place
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9.51Boston College2.345.1%1st Place
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11.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.462.9%1st Place
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11.21Roger Williams University2.424.0%1st Place
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8.58Tulane University2.466.7%1st Place
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8.86Harvard University2.315.8%1st Place
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10.12Connecticut College2.294.8%1st Place
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13.17University of Rhode Island2.102.2%1st Place
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11.33Tufts University2.033.4%1st Place
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9.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.174.7%1st Place
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7.04Georgetown University2.768.8%1st Place
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8.82St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.8%1st Place
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12.02Fordham University1.983.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% |
| JC Hermus | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Jack Parkin | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| Jake Vickers | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.8% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 27.1% |
| Alex Fasolo | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.3% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% |
| Jack Reiter | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% |
| Porter Kavle | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.