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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.20+6.67vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.85+5.59vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.01+4.62vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.03+7.53vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.46+3.45vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.29+3.79vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.93+0.64vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.79+2.11vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.12+2.70vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.10+3.37vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-1.71vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.98-0.29vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46-1.92vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.76-7.11vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-5.92vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.42-5.04vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.90-9.78vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.34-8.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.67Yale University3.206.8%1st Place
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7.59Brown University2.858.2%1st Place
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7.62U. S. Naval Academy3.017.5%1st Place
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11.53Tufts University2.032.6%1st Place
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8.45Tulane University2.467.0%1st Place
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9.79Connecticut College2.295.0%1st Place
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7.64Stanford University2.937.5%1st Place
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10.11Boston University1.794.1%1st Place
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11.7Harvard University2.123.1%1st Place
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13.37University of Rhode Island2.102.1%1st Place
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9.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.5%1st Place
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11.71Fordham University1.983.3%1st Place
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11.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.464.2%1st Place
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6.89Georgetown University2.7610.1%1st Place
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9.08St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.1%1st Place
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10.96Roger Williams University2.423.2%1st Place
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7.22Dartmouth College2.909.2%1st Place
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9.28Boston College2.345.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 6.8% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| JC Hermus | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Alex Fasolo | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.4% |
| Cameron Giblin | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% |
| Jack Parkin | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 11.3% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 23.9% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Porter Kavle | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 13.0% |
| Jake Vickers | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% |
| Jack Reiter | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.