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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.76+5.84vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.20+5.47vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.79+7.16vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.42+7.05vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.01+2.71vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.93+2.10vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.46+1.41vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.29+1.85vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.03+2.38vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+1.31vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.85-3.28vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.34-2.56vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.10+0.31vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-5.25vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.90-7.85vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-6.84vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.98-5.21vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.12-6.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.84Georgetown University2.769.3%1st Place
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7.47Yale University3.208.6%1st Place
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10.16Boston University1.794.1%1st Place
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11.05Roger Williams University2.424.0%1st Place
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7.71U. S. Naval Academy3.018.5%1st Place
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8.1Stanford University2.936.5%1st Place
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8.41Tulane University2.465.9%1st Place
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9.85Connecticut College2.295.0%1st Place
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11.38Tufts University2.033.1%1st Place
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11.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.462.5%1st Place
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7.72Brown University2.858.2%1st Place
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9.44Boston College2.345.2%1st Place
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13.31University of Rhode Island2.102.1%1st Place
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8.75St. Mary's College of Maryland2.576.0%1st Place
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7.15Dartmouth College2.908.2%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.9%1st Place
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11.79Fordham University1.983.9%1st Place
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11.39Harvard University2.122.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 9.3% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Shawn Harvey | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% |
| JC Hermus | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Jack Parkin | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 10.4% |
| Jake Vickers | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 25.2% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Porter Kavle | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 12.6% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.