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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.85+6.39vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.29+7.37vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.03+8.20vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.01+3.49vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.98+6.59vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+5.16vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.76+0.09vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+1.23vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.79+1.12vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.93-2.30vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.38-2.00vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.46-3.85vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.34-3.82vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.10-0.88vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.42-3.99vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.20-8.45vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.08-5.10vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-9.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.39Brown University2.858.9%1st Place
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9.37Connecticut College2.294.8%1st Place
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11.2Tufts University2.033.8%1st Place
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7.49U. S. Naval Academy3.018.2%1st Place
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11.59Fordham University1.983.1%1st Place
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11.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.463.4%1st Place
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7.09Georgetown University2.769.1%1st Place
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9.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.8%1st Place
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10.12Boston University1.794.5%1st Place
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7.7Stanford University2.936.8%1st Place
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9.0Dartmouth College2.385.8%1st Place
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8.15Tulane University2.467.0%1st Place
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9.18Boston College2.345.6%1st Place
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13.12University of Rhode Island2.102.2%1st Place
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11.01Roger Williams University2.423.9%1st Place
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7.55Yale University3.207.8%1st Place
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11.9Harvard University2.083.4%1st Place
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8.75St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Alex Fasolo | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% |
| JC Hermus | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Porter Kavle | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.2% |
| Jake Vickers | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.9% |
| Jack Reiter | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% |
| Jack Parkin | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| William Michels | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Cameron Giblin | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 24.3% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.7% |
| Shawn Harvey | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Emma Kaneti | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 13.8% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.