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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.93+6.82vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.01+5.48vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.20+4.52vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.46+4.30vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.29+4.48vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.34+3.15vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.79+3.14vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.85-0.36vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.38-0.10vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.08+2.05vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.42-0.08vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.03-0.72vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.76-5.92vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-5.44vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.98-3.43vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-6.90vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46-6.01vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.10-4.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.82Stanford University2.937.0%1st Place
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7.48U. S. Naval Academy3.018.5%1st Place
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7.52Yale University3.208.9%1st Place
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8.3Tulane University2.465.9%1st Place
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9.48Connecticut College2.294.8%1st Place
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9.15Boston College2.346.7%1st Place
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10.14Boston University1.794.9%1st Place
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7.64Brown University2.857.4%1st Place
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8.9Dartmouth College2.385.9%1st Place
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12.05Harvard University2.083.5%1st Place
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10.92Roger Williams University2.423.5%1st Place
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11.28Tufts University2.033.6%1st Place
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7.08Georgetown University2.769.1%1st Place
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8.56St. Mary's College of Maryland2.576.9%1st Place
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11.57Fordham University1.983.2%1st Place
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9.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.1%1st Place
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10.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.463.5%1st Place
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13.03University of Rhode Island2.101.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| JC Hermus | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Shawn Harvey | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% |
| Sophia Reineke | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| William Michels | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 14.9% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% |
| Alex Fasolo | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% |
| Jack Reiter | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Porter Kavle | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.9% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Jake Vickers | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% |
| Aidan naughton | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.