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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Jack Parkin 6.8% 6.6% 7.8% 6.3% 7.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.3% 6.5% 5.9% 6.2% 5.9% 5.0% 4.5% 3.9% 4.3% 3.4% 1.5%
Robert Bragg 7.7% 7.6% 7.0% 7.6% 6.5% 7.8% 7.5% 6.9% 6.0% 5.8% 5.5% 5.4% 4.6% 4.3% 3.6% 2.9% 1.9% 1.2%
Cameron Giblin 6.4% 6.0% 6.2% 6.8% 7.0% 6.4% 6.2% 5.7% 6.0% 5.7% 5.7% 5.5% 5.9% 5.1% 4.5% 5.0% 3.9% 2.2%
Porter Kavle 3.2% 2.8% 4.0% 3.2% 3.4% 4.0% 3.9% 3.8% 3.8% 4.7% 4.7% 4.7% 6.3% 6.1% 7.5% 9.0% 10.2% 14.8%
Shawn Harvey 8.8% 7.8% 6.4% 6.8% 7.4% 7.1% 6.7% 6.1% 5.5% 5.4% 5.6% 5.8% 4.8% 5.5% 3.6% 3.4% 2.2% 1.0%
Jack Reiter 9.0% 8.9% 8.3% 8.4% 7.8% 6.0% 7.2% 6.7% 5.7% 5.6% 5.1% 3.8% 5.5% 3.4% 4.1% 2.1% 1.7% 0.7%
Thomas Whittemore 4.1% 4.5% 5.5% 4.7% 5.2% 4.5% 5.1% 5.8% 6.3% 5.8% 6.7% 5.7% 6.2% 6.2% 6.2% 5.2% 6.9% 5.5%
JC Hermus 8.1% 8.1% 6.8% 7.8% 7.0% 6.2% 6.9% 6.2% 6.2% 6.5% 5.0% 5.3% 4.8% 4.8% 4.0% 3.1% 1.8% 1.6%
Connor Nelson 6.9% 8.1% 6.7% 6.5% 7.6% 7.6% 6.0% 6.4% 6.0% 5.7% 6.6% 5.6% 5.1% 4.8% 3.8% 3.0% 2.5% 1.1%
Sophia Reineke 4.8% 5.1% 5.1% 5.5% 5.3% 6.0% 5.3% 5.3% 5.5% 6.5% 5.3% 7.4% 5.5% 5.2% 6.9% 5.5% 4.9% 4.7%
Nicholas Reeser 5.8% 5.5% 6.2% 6.1% 5.7% 6.3% 5.9% 5.6% 5.5% 5.9% 5.5% 6.6% 5.3% 6.0% 5.6% 5.7% 4.2% 2.7%
Owen Hennessey 6.2% 5.1% 5.5% 6.5% 5.7% 5.7% 5.5% 6.5% 6.6% 5.2% 6.0% 5.7% 6.1% 5.3% 5.5% 5.0% 4.5% 3.2%
Dylan Ascencios 2.4% 3.1% 3.1% 3.0% 3.3% 4.7% 3.8% 3.5% 4.8% 5.1% 5.4% 4.8% 5.1% 5.5% 7.3% 10.3% 11.5% 13.6%
Alex Fasolo 2.8% 3.8% 3.5% 3.4% 3.1% 3.6% 3.8% 4.9% 4.7% 5.0% 4.8% 6.3% 5.7% 6.3% 6.3% 8.9% 9.3% 13.9%
Jake Vickers 3.4% 3.4% 3.5% 3.7% 3.2% 4.0% 3.8% 4.7% 4.7% 5.3% 4.7% 4.5% 5.6% 7.1% 7.3% 8.2% 10.0% 12.8%
Tyler Mowry 3.8% 4.0% 4.5% 4.9% 5.1% 4.2% 4.8% 5.5% 5.1% 5.3% 5.1% 5.7% 6.2% 7.2% 7.5% 7.1% 8.0% 5.7%
Aidan Hoogland 5.7% 5.9% 5.7% 5.1% 5.5% 5.0% 6.8% 5.7% 6.2% 6.2% 6.2% 5.6% 5.7% 6.2% 5.0% 5.1% 5.1% 3.6%
Parker Colantuono 4.2% 3.7% 4.1% 3.8% 4.2% 4.8% 4.9% 4.7% 4.8% 4.5% 6.0% 5.5% 6.7% 6.5% 7.4% 6.2% 8.1% 10.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.