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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.93+7.30vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.90+5.76vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.46+5.65vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.98+7.85vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.20+2.85vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.76+1.27vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.29+2.99vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.01-0.18vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.85-1.02vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.34-0.39vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-1.92vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-2.90vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.12-1.06vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.03-2.34vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46-3.45vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.79-5.54vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.45-7.75vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.77-7.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.3Stanford University2.936.8%1st Place
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7.76Dartmouth College2.907.7%1st Place
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8.65Tulane University2.466.4%1st Place
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11.85Fordham University1.983.2%1st Place
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7.85Yale University3.208.8%1st Place
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7.27Georgetown University2.769.0%1st Place
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9.99Connecticut College2.294.1%1st Place
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7.82U. S. Naval Academy3.018.1%1st Place
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7.98Brown University2.856.9%1st Place
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9.61Boston College2.344.8%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.8%1st Place
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9.1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.576.2%1st Place
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11.94Harvard University2.122.4%1st Place
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11.66Tufts University2.032.8%1st Place
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11.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.463.4%1st Place
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10.46Boston University1.793.8%1st Place
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9.25Roger Williams University2.455.7%1st Place
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10.87University of Rhode Island1.774.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
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Jack Parkin | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
Robert Bragg | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
Cameron Giblin | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
Porter Kavle | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 14.8% |
Shawn Harvey | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
Jack Reiter | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
Thomas Whittemore | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% |
JC Hermus | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% |
Connor Nelson | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
Sophia Reineke | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% |
Nicholas Reeser | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
Owen Hennessey | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
Dylan Ascencios | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 13.6% |
Alex Fasolo | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 13.9% |
Jake Vickers | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 12.8% |
Tyler Mowry | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% |
Aidan Hoogland | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
Parker Colantuono | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.