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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.93+7.12vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.34+7.40vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.85+5.06vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.20+3.95vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.98+7.26vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+5.78vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.90+0.73vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.03+3.68vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.79+1.45vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.76-2.87vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.46-2.34vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.77-1.08vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.29-2.93vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.45-4.91vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-5.88vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.12-4.36vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-7.94vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy3.01-10.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.12Stanford University2.937.0%1st Place
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9.4Boston College2.345.4%1st Place
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8.06Brown University2.857.3%1st Place
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7.95Yale University3.206.3%1st Place
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12.26Fordham University1.982.2%1st Place
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11.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.462.9%1st Place
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7.73Dartmouth College2.908.5%1st Place
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11.68Tufts University2.032.9%1st Place
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10.45Boston University1.794.8%1st Place
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7.13Georgetown University2.769.9%1st Place
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8.66Tulane University2.466.6%1st Place
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10.92University of Rhode Island1.773.5%1st Place
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10.07Connecticut College2.294.2%1st Place
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9.09Roger Williams University2.456.2%1st Place
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9.12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.576.2%1st Place
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11.64Harvard University2.123.3%1st Place
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9.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.5%1st Place
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7.9U. S. Naval Academy3.017.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Shawn Harvey | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Porter Kavle | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 18.4% |
| Jake Vickers | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 13.8% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Alex Fasolo | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 13.5% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% |
| Jack Reiter | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 12.6% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| JC Hermus | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.