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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.93+7.02vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.46+6.42vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.85+4.69vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.98+8.17vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.29+4.86vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.79+4.21vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.90+0.38vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.77+2.72vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.01-1.11vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+1.36vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-1.91vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.03-0.36vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.76-6.00vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.34-4.56vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.20-7.18vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.42-4.65vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-7.78vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.12-6.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.02Stanford University2.936.9%1st Place
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8.42Tulane University2.466.2%1st Place
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7.69Brown University2.857.8%1st Place
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12.17Fordham University1.982.8%1st Place
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9.86Connecticut College2.295.1%1st Place
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10.21Boston University1.794.1%1st Place
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7.38Dartmouth College2.908.3%1st Place
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10.72University of Rhode Island1.774.7%1st Place
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7.89U. S. Naval Academy3.018.4%1st Place
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11.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.464.0%1st Place
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9.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.0%1st Place
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11.64Tufts University2.032.8%1st Place
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7.0Georgetown University2.768.8%1st Place
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9.44Boston College2.345.7%1st Place
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7.82Yale University3.208.6%1st Place
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11.35Roger Williams University2.423.4%1st Place
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9.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.574.6%1st Place
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11.75Harvard University2.122.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Porter Kavle | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 16.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% |
| JC Hermus | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Jake Vickers | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% |
| Alex Fasolo | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.6% |
| Jack Reiter | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% |
| Shawn Harvey | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.6% |
| Owen Hennessey | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.