← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.23+2.94vs Predicted
-
2Clemson University1.66+1.34vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston3.06-1.34vs Predicted
-
4Georgia Institute of Technology0.38+1.36vs Predicted
-
5University of Tennessee-0.79+1.90vs Predicted
-
6Clemson University-0.34+0.32vs Predicted
-
7North Carolina State University1.38-3.20vs Predicted
-
8Duke University0.72-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.94University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.230.1%1st Place
-
3.34Clemson University1.660.1%1st Place
-
1.66College of Charleston3.060.6%1st Place
-
5.36Georgia Institute of Technology0.380.0%1st Place
-
6.9University of Tennessee-0.790.0%1st Place
-
6.32Clemson University-0.340.0%1st Place
-
3.8North Carolina State University1.380.1%1st Place
-
4.68Duke University0.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Barney | 8.4% | 15.3% | 18.1% | 21.6% | 16.1% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 1.6% |
| Edwin Strong | 12.9% | 21.0% | 23.0% | 19.3% | 12.9% | 8.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Reed Baldridge | 56.8% | 27.1% | 10.9% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Korslund | 3.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 23.3% | 19.7% | 11.1% |
| Becca Hofmeister | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 23.3% | 50.8% |
| William Duncan | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 15.8% | 27.3% | 30.8% |
| David Rogers | 10.6% | 16.0% | 18.3% | 20.3% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Alexander Katsis | 5.6% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 21.2% | 17.7% | 14.9% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.