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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.20+6.59vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.46+6.40vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.42+8.02vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.98+7.98vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.76+2.18vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.90+1.55vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.01+0.79vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.12+3.55vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.79+1.36vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.85-2.09vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.03+0.73vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46-0.36vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.34-3.39vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.29-4.27vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-5.99vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.93-8.08vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.77-6.04vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-8.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59Yale University3.208.2%1st Place
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8.4Tulane University2.467.0%1st Place
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11.02Roger Williams University2.423.1%1st Place
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11.98Fordham University1.983.4%1st Place
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7.18Georgetown University2.769.3%1st Place
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7.55Dartmouth College2.908.0%1st Place
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7.79U. S. Naval Academy3.017.2%1st Place
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11.55Harvard University2.123.5%1st Place
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10.36Boston University1.794.2%1st Place
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7.91Brown University2.857.0%1st Place
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11.73Tufts University2.032.5%1st Place
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11.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.463.2%1st Place
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9.61Boston College2.344.7%1st Place
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9.73Connecticut College2.294.5%1st Place
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9.01St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.7%1st Place
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7.92Stanford University2.938.0%1st Place
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10.96University of Rhode Island1.774.2%1st Place
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9.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.326.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Cameron Giblin | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% |
| Porter Kavle | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 15.3% |
| Jack Reiter | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| JC Hermus | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 12.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Alex Fasolo | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.7% |
| Jake Vickers | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 12.6% |
| Sophia Reineke | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Jack Parkin | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.