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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.06+0.68vs Predicted
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2Clemson University1.66+1.33vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.23+0.96vs Predicted
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4University of Tennessee-0.79+2.91vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology0.38+0.31vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-0.34+0.32vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.38-3.22vs Predicted
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8Duke University0.72-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.68College of Charleston3.060.6%1st Place
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3.33Clemson University1.660.1%1st Place
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3.96University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.230.1%1st Place
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6.91University of Tennessee-0.790.0%1st Place
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5.31Georgia Institute of Technology0.380.0%1st Place
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6.32Clemson University-0.340.0%1st Place
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3.78North Carolina State University1.380.1%1st Place
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4.71Duke University0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed Baldridge | 56.5% | 27.6% | 9.9% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 13.9% | 19.9% | 23.9% | 18.6% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Cole Barney | 9.3% | 14.4% | 18.7% | 18.4% | 17.6% | 13.0% | 6.3% | 2.3% |
| Becca Hofmeister | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 10.5% | 23.5% | 50.8% |
| Ryan Korslund | 3.4% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 22.9% | 21.2% | 9.3% |
| William Duncan | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 28.2% | 30.9% |
| David Rogers | 10.4% | 16.4% | 19.9% | 18.3% | 16.4% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 1.3% |
| Alexander Katsis | 3.8% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 20.8% | 18.2% | 12.7% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.