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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.13+3.11vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine2.34+1.85vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California3.12-0.44vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.92-1.10vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.20+0.74vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay0.19+1.01vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.15-2.80vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.18-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11University of Hawaii2.130.1%1st Place
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3.85University of California at Irvine2.340.1%1st Place
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2.56University of Southern California3.120.3%1st Place
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2.9Stanford University2.920.2%1st Place
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5.74University of California at Los Angeles1.200.0%1st Place
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7.01California State University Monterey Bay0.190.0%1st Place
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4.2University of California at Santa Barbara2.150.1%1st Place
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5.63University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaclyn McLoughlin | 10.4% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 16.8% | 17.6% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 3.1% |
| Blair Johnston | 13.2% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 17.6% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 6.6% | 1.7% |
| Emily Dahl | 31.3% | 24.9% | 18.4% | 13.1% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 24.4% | 23.1% | 18.1% | 17.0% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Shannon Walker | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 18.3% | 27.5% | 17.5% |
| Maryan Gonnerman | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 10.2% | 17.2% | 58.9% |
| Morgane Renoir | 10.5% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 10.2% | 2.8% |
| Megan Hayes | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 14.5% | 19.4% | 26.9% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.