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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont-0.34+2.92vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.46+0.63vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy-0.65+1.73vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.59-1.35vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.58-0.50vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52-1.57vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-1.89-0.52vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.97-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92University of Vermont-0.3412.8%1st Place
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2.63Salve Regina University0.4629.4%1st Place
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4.73Maine Maritime Academy-0.657.0%1st Place
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2.65Fairfield University0.5927.9%1st Place
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4.5Bates College-0.589.6%1st Place
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4.43University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.529.4%1st Place
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6.48Brandeis University-1.892.2%1st Place
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6.66Middlebury College-1.971.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ocean Smith | 12.8% | 14.3% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 17.4% | 13.9% | 7.7% | 1.6% |
| Emil Tullberg | 29.4% | 25.8% | 18.2% | 13.0% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Griffin Stolp | 7.0% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 17.6% | 18.6% | 15.3% | 5.9% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 27.9% | 27.1% | 18.5% | 13.2% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Harrison Nash | 9.6% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 18.1% | 18.9% | 11.8% | 4.4% |
| Marshall Rodes | 9.4% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 17.3% | 12.2% | 4.0% |
| Miles Laker | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 25.2% | 39.4% |
| Aengus Onken | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 25.1% | 44.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.