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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.07+9.78vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.41+6.19vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.15+9.06vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.77+6.47vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.75+2.22vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+5.23vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00+4.92vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.57+3.62vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.73-2.42vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.05-4.26vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.92-0.80vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.34-1.77vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.16-1.64vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.78-6.79vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-8.09vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.61-8.93vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.65-5.68vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.40-7.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.78Roger Williams University2.072.8%1st Place
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8.19Georgetown University2.416.2%1st Place
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12.06Tufts University2.152.2%1st Place
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10.47Tulane University1.773.8%1st Place
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7.22Dartmouth College2.758.2%1st Place
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11.23St. Mary's College of Maryland1.762.8%1st Place
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11.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.002.9%1st Place
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11.62Fordham University1.572.9%1st Place
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6.58Yale University2.7310.3%1st Place
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5.74Harvard University3.0512.5%1st Place
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10.2Connecticut College1.924.6%1st Place
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10.23Boston College2.344.3%1st Place
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11.36U. S. Naval Academy2.163.5%1st Place
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7.21University of Rhode Island2.788.5%1st Place
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6.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.8%1st Place
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7.07Stanford University2.618.1%1st Place
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11.32Boston University1.653.1%1st Place
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10.9Brown University2.403.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Wood | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% |
| Scott Mais | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 14.4% |
| Asher Zittrer | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% |
| Charles Carraway | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 12.7% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% |
| Jack Egan | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% |
| Jack DeNatale | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Micky Munns | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% |
| Jack Murphy | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.