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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.40+9.81vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.78+5.33vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.34+7.38vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.05+1.52vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.73+1.62vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+0.77vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.61+0.12vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+2.97vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.92+1.14vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.15+2.31vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.57+0.81vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00-0.21vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.41-4.84vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.16-2.40vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.77-4.61vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.07-5.36vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.75-9.62vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.65-6.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.81Brown University2.403.1%1st Place
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7.33University of Rhode Island2.787.8%1st Place
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10.38Boston College2.343.8%1st Place
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5.52Harvard University3.0514.2%1st Place
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6.62Yale University2.739.6%1st Place
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6.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.3%1st Place
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7.12Stanford University2.619.0%1st Place
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10.97St. Mary's College of Maryland1.762.5%1st Place
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10.14Connecticut College1.924.2%1st Place
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12.31Tufts University2.151.5%1st Place
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11.81Fordham University1.572.5%1st Place
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11.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.002.9%1st Place
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8.16Georgetown University2.416.6%1st Place
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11.6U. S. Naval Academy2.163.3%1st Place
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10.39Tulane University1.774.0%1st Place
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10.64Roger Williams University2.073.9%1st Place
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7.38Dartmouth College2.758.8%1st Place
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11.24Boston University1.652.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Murphy | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Jack DeNatale | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 14.2% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Egan | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Madison Bashaw | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 14.5% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 12.1% |
| Charles Carraway | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 13.0% |
| Scott Mais | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Micky Munns | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.