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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.34+9.29vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.05+3.80vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.78+4.32vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.40+7.09vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.61+2.05vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+0.66vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.16+4.61vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.15+4.01vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.07+1.85vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.92+0.06vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.75-3.73vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00-0.43vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.77-2.56vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.73-7.65vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.39-3.16vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.41-7.81vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-5.97vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.57-6.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.29Boston College2.343.9%1st Place
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5.8Harvard University3.0513.2%1st Place
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7.32University of Rhode Island2.788.4%1st Place
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11.09Brown University2.402.5%1st Place
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7.05Stanford University2.618.1%1st Place
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6.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.6%1st Place
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11.61U. S. Naval Academy2.162.6%1st Place
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12.01Tufts University2.152.8%1st Place
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10.85Roger Williams University2.072.8%1st Place
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10.06Connecticut College1.924.2%1st Place
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7.27Dartmouth College2.758.1%1st Place
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11.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.003.3%1st Place
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10.44Tulane University1.773.7%1st Place
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6.35Yale University2.7311.1%1st Place
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11.84Boston University1.392.5%1st Place
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8.19Georgetown University2.417.0%1st Place
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11.03St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.0%1st Place
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11.56Fordham University1.572.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack DeNatale | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 13.2% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Jack Murphy | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Colman Schofield | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 11.2% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.2% |
| Cameron Wood | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Charles Carraway | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.5% |
| Asher Zittrer | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% |
| Jack Egan | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 12.2% |
| Scott Mais | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.