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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+4.71vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.34+8.36vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.73+3.73vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.39+7.70vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.16+6.55vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+5.01vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-0.37vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.77+2.46vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.78-1.86vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.41-2.21vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00+0.68vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.40-1.10vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.75-5.61vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.61-6.83vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.57-3.33vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.92-5.90vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.15-4.64vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.07-7.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71Harvard University3.0512.5%1st Place
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10.36Boston College2.344.7%1st Place
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6.73Yale University2.7310.2%1st Place
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11.7Boston University1.392.4%1st Place
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11.55U. S. Naval Academy2.163.1%1st Place
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11.01St. Mary's College of Maryland1.763.2%1st Place
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6.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.9%1st Place
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10.46Tulane University1.773.3%1st Place
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7.14University of Rhode Island2.788.2%1st Place
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7.79Georgetown University2.417.4%1st Place
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11.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.002.9%1st Place
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10.9Brown University2.402.7%1st Place
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7.39Dartmouth College2.757.9%1st Place
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7.17Stanford University2.618.9%1st Place
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11.67Fordham University1.572.9%1st Place
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10.1Connecticut College1.924.4%1st Place
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12.36Tufts University2.151.8%1st Place
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10.65Roger Williams University2.073.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 12.5% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack DeNatale | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Jack Egan | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.2% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.7% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Asher Zittrer | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Scott Mais | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Charles Carraway | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 11.7% |
| Jack Murphy | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 11.2% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 14.9% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.