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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College-1.75+3.17vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.72-0.55vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.36-0.55vs Predicted
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4Queen's University-2.13+0.40vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.31-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17Ocean County College-1.750.0%1st Place
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1.45Fordham University1.720.6%1st Place
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2.45William and Mary0.360.2%1st Place
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4.4Queen's University-2.130.0%1st Place
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2.54Princeton University0.310.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily McCarthy | 1.9% | 3.8% | 9.7% | 45.0% | 39.6% |
| Johanna Monro | 64.2% | 27.8% | 7.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlynn Menoche | 18.2% | 33.1% | 36.3% | 10.4% | 2.0% |
| Nicole Czegledy | 1.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 32.2% | 56.8% |
| Adrija Navarro | 14.7% | 31.4% | 40.8% | 11.5% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.