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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
5.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.07+9.60vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.21+9.44vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.40+7.87vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.15+8.22vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.05+0.61vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00+5.83vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.34+3.26vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.16+3.34vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.61-1.94vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.92+0.21vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.73-4.59vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-5.32vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.39-0.94vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.78-6.72vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-3.95vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.57-4.50vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.75-9.50vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.75-10.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.6Roger Williams University2.073.5%1st Place
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11.44Tulane University2.212.8%1st Place
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10.87Brown University2.403.2%1st Place
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12.22Tufts University2.152.0%1st Place
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5.61Harvard University3.0513.4%1st Place
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11.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.002.7%1st Place
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10.26Boston College2.344.1%1st Place
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11.34U. S. Naval Academy2.162.9%1st Place
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7.06Stanford University2.617.8%1st Place
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10.21Connecticut College1.924.2%1st Place
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6.41Yale University2.7310.3%1st Place
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6.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.0%1st Place
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12.06Boston University1.392.4%1st Place
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7.28University of Rhode Island2.788.1%1st Place
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11.05St. Mary's College of Maryland1.763.1%1st Place
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11.5Fordham University1.573.4%1st Place
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7.5Dartmouth College2.757.5%1st Place
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7.07Georgetown University2.758.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Wood | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% |
| Jack Murphy | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 14.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 13.4% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Carraway | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.9% |
| Jack DeNatale | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% |
| Jack Egan | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 13.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Mariner Fagan | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.