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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00+10.59vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.05+3.84vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.21+8.37vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.34+6.05vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.61+2.24vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.78+1.50vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.95+3.05vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.16+3.48vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-2.28vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.75-2.64vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.75-3.80vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.40-1.06vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.73-6.37vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.65-2.57vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.07-4.31vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-4.78vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.57-5.56vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.15-5.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.003.2%1st Place
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5.84Harvard University3.0512.2%1st Place
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11.37Tulane University2.212.9%1st Place
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10.05Boston College2.344.7%1st Place
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7.24Stanford University2.619.2%1st Place
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7.5University of Rhode Island2.786.9%1st Place
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10.05Connecticut College1.954.3%1st Place
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11.48U. S. Naval Academy2.163.1%1st Place
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6.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.7%1st Place
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7.36Dartmouth College2.757.8%1st Place
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7.2Georgetown University2.759.1%1st Place
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10.94Brown University2.403.3%1st Place
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6.63Yale University2.738.9%1st Place
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11.43Boston University1.652.7%1st Place
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10.69Roger Williams University2.073.5%1st Place
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11.22St. Mary's College of Maryland1.763.2%1st Place
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11.44Fordham University1.573.0%1st Place
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12.25Tufts University2.152.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Carraway | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 12.2% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% |
| Jack DeNatale | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Walter Henry | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Mariner Fagan | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Jack Murphy | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% |
| Jack Egan | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Micky Munns | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.7% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.