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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.75+5.83vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.05+3.43vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.07+7.56vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.78+3.41vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.73+1.26vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.75+1.07vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.21+4.23vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.40+2.72vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.55-2.06vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.56-1.39vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-0.11vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.16-0.67vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.95-2.82vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00-2.44vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.65-4.04vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.15-3.98vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.57-5.66vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66-6.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.83Georgetown University2.7510.0%1st Place
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5.43Harvard University3.0513.4%1st Place
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10.56Roger Williams University2.073.9%1st Place
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7.41University of Rhode Island2.787.1%1st Place
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6.26Yale University2.7311.3%1st Place
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7.07Dartmouth College2.757.9%1st Place
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11.23Tulane University2.213.2%1st Place
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10.72Brown University2.403.6%1st Place
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6.94Stanford University2.558.5%1st Place
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8.61Boston College2.565.9%1st Place
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10.89St. Mary's College of Maryland1.763.9%1st Place
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11.33U. S. Naval Academy2.163.1%1st Place
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10.18Connecticut College1.954.0%1st Place
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11.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.003.9%1st Place
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10.96Boston University1.652.8%1st Place
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12.02Tufts University2.152.3%1st Place
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11.34Fordham University1.572.5%1st Place
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11.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.662.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariner Fagan | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 13.4% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Jack Egan | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% |
| Jack Murphy | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% |
| Wiley Rogers | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% |
| Walter Henry | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% |
| Charles Carraway | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.5% |
| Micky Munns | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.9% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.