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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+6.20vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.73+4.28vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.21+8.28vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.40+6.67vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+5.81vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.55+1.04vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.78+0.16vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.05-2.39vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.07+1.57vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.75-3.42vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.15+0.88vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.16-0.85vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.65-1.72vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.95-4.03vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00-3.40vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.56-7.42vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.57-5.43vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66-6.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.2Dartmouth College2.758.6%1st Place
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6.28Yale University2.7310.4%1st Place
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11.28Tulane University2.213.0%1st Place
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10.67Brown University2.404.0%1st Place
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10.81St. Mary's College of Maryland1.763.2%1st Place
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7.04Stanford University2.559.4%1st Place
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7.16University of Rhode Island2.788.8%1st Place
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5.61Harvard University3.0513.4%1st Place
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10.57Roger Williams University2.073.5%1st Place
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6.58Georgetown University2.759.3%1st Place
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11.88Tufts University2.152.5%1st Place
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11.15U. S. Naval Academy2.163.2%1st Place
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11.28Boston University1.653.5%1st Place
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9.97Connecticut College1.953.9%1st Place
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11.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.002.5%1st Place
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8.58Boston College2.565.7%1st Place
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11.57Fordham University1.572.7%1st Place
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11.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.662.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Jack Egan | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% |
| Jack Murphy | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% |
| Wiley Rogers | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 13.4% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% |
| Mariner Fagan | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 13.6% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% |
| Micky Munns | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% |
| Walter Henry | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% |
| Charles Carraway | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.4% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.