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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.59+1.74vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52+2.40vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont-0.34+0.91vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.58+0.40vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy-0.65-0.30vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.46-3.35vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-1.97-0.25vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University-1.89-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74Fairfield University0.5927.3%1st Place
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4.4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.528.3%1st Place
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3.91University of Vermont-0.3413.7%1st Place
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4.4Bates College-0.589.7%1st Place
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4.7Maine Maritime Academy-0.658.4%1st Place
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2.65Salve Regina University0.4628.1%1st Place
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6.75Middlebury College-1.972.1%1st Place
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6.44Brandeis University-1.892.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 27.3% | 24.5% | 18.9% | 13.7% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Marshall Rodes | 8.3% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 16.2% | 16.0% | 19.1% | 10.6% | 4.0% |
| Ocean Smith | 13.7% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 17.4% | 13.0% | 7.8% | 2.1% |
| Harrison Nash | 9.7% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 18.4% | 16.6% | 11.8% | 4.3% |
| Griffin Stolp | 8.4% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 19.8% | 14.8% | 5.7% |
| Emil Tullberg | 28.1% | 26.1% | 19.2% | 13.3% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Aengus Onken | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 10.5% | 24.1% | 47.4% |
| Miles Laker | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 27.9% | 36.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.