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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.13+3.10vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California3.12+0.61vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.92-0.11vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine2.34-0.16vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.18+0.80vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.15-1.90vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay0.19+0.04vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.20-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1University of Hawaii2.130.1%1st Place
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2.61University of Southern California3.120.3%1st Place
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2.89Stanford University2.920.2%1st Place
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3.84University of California at Irvine2.340.1%1st Place
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5.8University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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4.1University of California at Santa Barbara2.150.1%1st Place
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7.04California State University Monterey Bay0.190.0%1st Place
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5.62University of California at Los Angeles1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaclyn McLoughlin | 11.1% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 16.3% | 18.3% | 15.0% | 9.1% | 2.3% |
| Emily Dahl | 30.0% | 25.2% | 17.6% | 14.2% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 24.3% | 22.9% | 19.4% | 16.2% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Blair Johnston | 13.7% | 14.8% | 16.7% | 16.5% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 7.6% | 1.6% |
| Megan Hayes | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 18.8% | 28.9% | 16.9% |
| Morgane Renoir | 11.1% | 11.8% | 17.5% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 9.5% | 2.3% |
| Maryan Gonnerman | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 17.0% | 61.1% |
| Shannon Walker | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 14.5% | 20.8% | 25.3% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.