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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.15+11.31vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+9.02vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.21+8.36vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.16+7.70vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.29+5.65vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.55+1.08vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.750.00vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.73-1.29vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.07+1.95vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.89+1.55vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-4.16vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.78-4.63vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.75-5.50vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.34-3.84vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.65-3.56vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.05-10.32vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.92-6.86vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00-6.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.31Tufts University2.152.5%1st Place
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11.02St. Mary's College of Maryland1.763.6%1st Place
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11.36Tulane University2.213.1%1st Place
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11.7U. S. Naval Academy2.162.9%1st Place
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10.65Brown University2.293.8%1st Place
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7.08Stanford University2.558.4%1st Place
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7.0Georgetown University2.759.2%1st Place
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6.71Yale University2.7310.0%1st Place
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10.95Roger Williams University2.073.2%1st Place
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11.55Fordham University1.892.3%1st Place
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6.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.4%1st Place
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7.37University of Rhode Island2.786.9%1st Place
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7.5Dartmouth College2.757.8%1st Place
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10.16Boston College2.344.9%1st Place
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11.44Boston University1.652.5%1st Place
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5.68Harvard University3.0512.5%1st Place
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10.14Connecticut College1.924.0%1st Place
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11.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.003.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ansgar Jordan | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 14.3% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.1% |
| Olivia Belda | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% |
| Wiley Rogers | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Mariner Fagan | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Jack Egan | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 10.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Jack DeNatale | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% |
| Micky Munns | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 12.5% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% |
| Charles Carraway | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.