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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.16+10.66vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.05+3.71vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.34+7.29vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.73+2.43vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.75+1.95vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.75+1.42vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.07+3.76vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+3.03vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.21+2.52vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.65+1.35vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.15+1.11vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.29-1.23vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.55-5.97vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-7.25vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.92-4.85vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.78-8.49vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.89-5.21vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00-6.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.66U. S. Naval Academy2.162.8%1st Place
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5.71Harvard University3.0511.6%1st Place
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10.29Boston College2.343.5%1st Place
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6.43Yale University2.739.9%1st Place
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6.95Georgetown University2.758.8%1st Place
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7.42Dartmouth College2.757.6%1st Place
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10.76Roger Williams University2.073.3%1st Place
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11.03St. Mary's College of Maryland1.763.2%1st Place
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11.52Tulane University2.212.6%1st Place
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11.35Boston University1.653.0%1st Place
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12.11Tufts University2.153.0%1st Place
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10.77Brown University2.293.6%1st Place
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7.03Stanford University2.559.5%1st Place
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6.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.2%1st Place
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10.15Connecticut College1.924.0%1st Place
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7.51University of Rhode Island2.788.2%1st Place
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11.79Fordham University1.892.5%1st Place
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11.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.002.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia de Olazarra | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.3% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack DeNatale | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Jack Egan | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Mariner Fagan | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% |
| Micky Munns | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 12.6% |
| Olivia Belda | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% |
| Wiley Rogers | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 11.8% |
| Charles Carraway | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.