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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00+10.86vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.15+10.11vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.92+6.97vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.34+6.44vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.75+1.88vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+0.91vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.65+4.15vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.29+2.60vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.78-1.74vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.07+0.75vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.75-3.47vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.21-0.58vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.89-1.41vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.55-6.65vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.16-3.47vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-4.76vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.05-11.21vs Predicted
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18Yale University2.73-11.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.002.9%1st Place
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12.11Tufts University2.152.7%1st Place
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9.97Connecticut College1.925.5%1st Place
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10.44Boston College2.344.0%1st Place
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6.88Georgetown University2.758.7%1st Place
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6.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.488.2%1st Place
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11.15Boston University1.653.2%1st Place
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10.6Brown University2.294.1%1st Place
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7.26University of Rhode Island2.788.6%1st Place
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10.75Roger Williams University2.074.2%1st Place
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7.53Dartmouth College2.758.4%1st Place
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11.42Tulane University2.212.9%1st Place
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11.59Fordham University1.892.9%1st Place
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7.35Stanford University2.558.2%1st Place
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11.53U. S. Naval Academy2.163.1%1st Place
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11.24St. Mary's College of Maryland1.762.7%1st Place
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5.79Harvard University3.0511.4%1st Place
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6.61Yale University2.738.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Carraway | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.8% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 14.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% |
| Jack DeNatale | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% |
| Mariner Fagan | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Micky Munns | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% |
| Olivia Belda | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.4% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 11.0% |
| Wiley Rogers | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Egan | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.