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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.75+6.15vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.07+8.73vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00+8.73vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.15+8.21vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.78+2.39vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.05-0.15vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.73-0.51vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-1.28vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.55-1.97vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.34+0.38vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.89+0.62vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.75-4.55vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.16-1.46vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.92-3.78vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-3.80vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.65-4.73vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.29-6.36vs Predicted
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18Tulane University2.21-6.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.15Georgetown University2.757.5%1st Place
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10.73Roger Williams University2.073.1%1st Place
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11.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.003.1%1st Place
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12.21Tufts University2.153.1%1st Place
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7.39University of Rhode Island2.787.3%1st Place
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5.85Harvard University3.0511.5%1st Place
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6.49Yale University2.7310.5%1st Place
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6.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.8%1st Place
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7.03Stanford University2.558.9%1st Place
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10.38Boston College2.343.9%1st Place
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11.62Fordham University1.893.1%1st Place
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7.45Dartmouth College2.757.0%1st Place
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11.54U. S. Naval Academy2.163.4%1st Place
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10.22Connecticut College1.923.5%1st Place
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11.2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.762.6%1st Place
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11.27Boston University1.653.5%1st Place
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10.64Brown University2.294.3%1st Place
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11.38Tulane University2.213.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
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Mariner Fagan | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
Cameron Wood | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% |
Charles Carraway | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.5% |
Ansgar Jordan | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 14.6% |
Kerem Erkmen | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
Lachlain McGranahan | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Jack Egan | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Colman Schofield | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Wiley Rogers | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
Jack DeNatale | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% |
Kenneth Corsig | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.4% |
Maddie Hawkins | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
Olivia de Olazarra | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% |
CJ Mckenna | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
Madison Bashaw | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% |
Micky Munns | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% |
Olivia Belda | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% |
Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.