← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.61+6.15vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.15+10.42vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island2.78+4.50vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.73+2.65vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College2.75+2.37vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University3.05-0.16vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-0.25vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College1.95+2.44vs Predicted
-
9Boston University1.65+2.33vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University1.89+1.54vs Predicted
-
11Boston College2.34-0.79vs Predicted
-
12Brown University2.40-1.14vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Naval Academy2.16-1.51vs Predicted
-
14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-3.02vs Predicted
-
15Roger Williams University2.07-4.13vs Predicted
-
16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00-4.21vs Predicted
-
17Georgetown University2.75-9.95vs Predicted
-
18Tulane University1.77-7.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.15Stanford University2.618.6%1st Place
-
12.42Tufts University2.152.3%1st Place
-
7.5University of Rhode Island2.787.2%1st Place
-
6.65Yale University2.739.8%1st Place
-
7.37Dartmouth College2.758.5%1st Place
-
5.84Harvard University3.0512.2%1st Place
-
6.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.488.8%1st Place
-
10.44Connecticut College1.952.8%1st Place
-
11.33Boston University1.653.0%1st Place
-
11.54Fordham University1.893.5%1st Place
-
10.21Boston College2.345.6%1st Place
-
10.86Brown University2.403.6%1st Place
-
11.49U. S. Naval Academy2.163.2%1st Place
-
10.98St. Mary's College of Maryland1.763.5%1st Place
-
10.87Roger Williams University2.073.1%1st Place
-
11.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.002.9%1st Place
-
7.05Georgetown University2.758.5%1st Place
-
10.75Tulane University1.772.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 16.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jack Egan | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 12.2% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Walter Henry | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Micky Munns | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% |
| Jack Murphy | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% |
| Charles Carraway | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.3% |
| Mariner Fagan | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Asher Zittrer | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.