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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.73+5.63vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.07+8.72vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+3.79vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.77+6.42vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.15+7.30vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.05-0.24vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.75+0.55vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.78-0.52vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+2.17vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.65+1.38vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.95-0.69vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.89-0.33vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.75-6.03vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00-1.94vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.40-4.13vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.61-8.94vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.34-6.70vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.16-6.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.63Yale University2.7310.1%1st Place
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10.72Roger Williams University2.073.3%1st Place
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6.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.0%1st Place
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10.42Tulane University1.774.0%1st Place
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12.3Tufts University2.152.2%1st Place
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5.76Harvard University3.0513.5%1st Place
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7.55Dartmouth College2.758.6%1st Place
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7.48University of Rhode Island2.788.2%1st Place
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11.17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.763.3%1st Place
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11.38Boston University1.652.2%1st Place
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10.31Connecticut College1.953.4%1st Place
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11.67Fordham University1.892.8%1st Place
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6.97Georgetown University2.758.6%1st Place
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12.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.002.4%1st Place
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10.87Brown University2.403.2%1st Place
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7.06Stanford University2.618.4%1st Place
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10.3Boston College2.343.6%1st Place
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11.54U. S. Naval Academy2.163.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% |
| Colman Schofield | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 15.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 13.5% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% |
| Micky Munns | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% |
| Walter Henry | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% |
| Mariner Fagan | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Charles Carraway | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 13.0% |
| Jack Murphy | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 5.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jack DeNatale | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.