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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.76+5.20vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+6.44vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.95+7.14vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.79+5.39vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.99+6.58vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.73+0.56vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.73+2.89vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54+3.47vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.81+1.70vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.08-0.36vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.46-3.51vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.93-4.81vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.05-3.43vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.98-3.09vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.31-7.06vs Predicted
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16Florida State University1.95-5.68vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii2.27-8.75vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.41-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2Georgetown University2.7611.7%1st Place
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8.44St. Mary's College of Maryland2.576.5%1st Place
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10.14Connecticut College1.954.6%1st Place
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9.39Boston University1.794.5%1st Place
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11.58North Carolina State University1.992.0%1st Place
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6.56Yale University2.7310.4%1st Place
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9.89Webb Institute1.734.2%1st Place
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11.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.543.4%1st Place
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10.7Old Dominion University1.814.1%1st Place
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9.64Bowdoin College2.085.1%1st Place
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7.49Tulane University2.468.4%1st Place
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7.19Stanford University2.938.2%1st Place
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9.57George Washington University2.054.8%1st Place
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10.91Fordham University1.983.4%1st Place
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7.94Harvard University2.316.6%1st Place
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10.32Florida State University1.954.5%1st Place
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8.25University of Hawaii2.276.8%1st Place
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15.31SUNY Maritime College0.410.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 11.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Walter Henry | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 3.9% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Scott Harris | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 8.2% |
| Jack Egan | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Rayne Duff | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 7.8% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 4.7% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.0% |
| Cameron Giblin | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Jack Parkin | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Matt Logue | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Porter Kavle | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.4% |
| Bastien Rasse | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Ben Hosford | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 11.6% | 50.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.