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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+7.61vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.10+10.40vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.42+7.25vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.97+6.65vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.90+1.73vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+4.78vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.01+0.17vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.20+0.09vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.42-0.96vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.88+0.99vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-4.16vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.85-4.92vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.32-4.53vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.99-4.27vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.34-4.69vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.02-5.36vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston2.23-7.06vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.06-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.2%1st Place
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12.4University of Rhode Island2.102.7%1st Place
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10.25Roger Williams University2.424.2%1st Place
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10.65Jacksonville University1.974.8%1st Place
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6.73Dartmouth College2.909.5%1st Place
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10.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.463.9%1st Place
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7.17U. S. Naval Academy3.019.2%1st Place
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8.09University of California at Santa Barbara2.207.3%1st Place
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8.04University of Pennsylvania2.425.8%1st Place
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10.99Cornell University1.883.6%1st Place
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6.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.5%1st Place
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7.08Brown University2.858.5%1st Place
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8.47University of Miami2.325.9%1st Place
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9.73Tufts University1.994.7%1st Place
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10.31Boston College2.344.0%1st Place
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10.64University of Wisconsin2.023.6%1st Place
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9.94College of Charleston2.235.0%1st Place
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14.27University of Michigan1.061.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 16.7% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% |
| Charlotte Rose | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jake Vickers | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.8% |
| JC Hermus | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| David Eastwood | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Meredith Moran | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 6.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 9.5% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
| Jack DeNatale | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% |
| Christian Spencer | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% |
| Brandon Geller | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% |
| Sherman Thompson | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 34.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.