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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.01+5.95vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.90+4.78vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+7.45vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.34+6.42vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin2.02+5.33vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.97+4.61vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.20+1.17vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+0.86vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.88+1.99vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.85-2.87vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-4.09vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.10+0.73vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.42-4.87vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.06+0.15vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.23-5.13vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.99-6.38vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.42-6.67vs Predicted
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18University of Miami2.32-9.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.95U. S. Naval Academy3.019.2%1st Place
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6.78Dartmouth College2.909.8%1st Place
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10.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.464.6%1st Place
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10.42Boston College2.344.2%1st Place
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10.33University of Wisconsin2.023.8%1st Place
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10.61Jacksonville University1.974.2%1st Place
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8.17University of California at Santa Barbara2.206.2%1st Place
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8.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.4%1st Place
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10.99Cornell University1.883.5%1st Place
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7.13Brown University2.859.7%1st Place
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6.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.2%1st Place
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12.73University of Rhode Island2.102.1%1st Place
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8.13University of Pennsylvania2.426.1%1st Place
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14.15University of Michigan1.061.5%1st Place
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9.87College of Charleston2.234.5%1st Place
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9.62Tufts University1.994.3%1st Place
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10.33Roger Williams University2.424.3%1st Place
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8.58University of Miami2.327.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Jake Vickers | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% |
| Jack DeNatale | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.4% |
| Christian Spencer | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.0% |
| Charlotte Rose | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% |
| David Eastwood | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Meredith Moran | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 16.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% |
| Sherman Thompson | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 33.8% |
| Brandon Geller | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.