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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+4.08vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.26+6.38vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.26+2.26vs Predicted
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4Hampton University1.84+5.89vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.38-0.14vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.86+0.56vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University4.01-3.60vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.23+0.44vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.11-3.16vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.60+0.63vs Predicted
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11William and Mary1.27+0.77vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland0.85+0.93vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.85-3.10vs Predicted
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14Drexel University0.70-0.53vs Predicted
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15Princeton University0.21-0.48vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.97-6.55vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.98-4.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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8.38SUNY Maritime College2.260.0%1st Place
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5.26Georgetown University3.260.1%1st Place
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9.89Hampton University1.840.0%1st Place
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4.86U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
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6.56University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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3.4Old Dominion University4.010.2%1st Place
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8.44George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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5.84St. Mary's College of Maryland3.110.1%1st Place
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10.63Cornell University1.600.0%1st Place
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11.77William and Mary1.270.0%1st Place
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12.93University of Maryland0.850.0%1st Place
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9.9Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
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13.47Drexel University0.700.0%1st Place
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14.52Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
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9.45Christopher Newport University1.970.0%1st Place
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12.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krysta Rohde | 12.7% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Lubliner | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Mason | 10.8% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Shoemaker | 2.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Taylor Vann | 13.0% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 23.4% | 20.1% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Carroll | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Wick Dudley | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% |
| Jonathan Conway | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 6.7% |
| Jun Yu Huang | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 19.3% | 13.9% |
| John O'Riordan | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 19.3% | 19.2% |
| Anthony Pappenfus | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 17.2% | 39.4% |
| Maxwell Plarr | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Alex Wood | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.