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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+2.83vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.60+0.55vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.82+0.16vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.42-1.46vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.73-0.17vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.26-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7911.2%1st Place
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2.55U. S. Naval Academy2.6029.1%1st Place
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3.16George Washington University1.8218.4%1st Place
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2.54Georgetown University2.4228.3%1st Place
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4.83Christopher Newport University0.734.5%1st Place
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4.08Old Dominion University1.268.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landon Cormie | 11.2% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 20.4% | 24.3% | 16.9% |
| Nathan Smith | 29.1% | 23.7% | 22.8% | 14.1% | 8.0% | 2.3% |
| Tyler Wood | 18.4% | 19.1% | 20.1% | 20.0% | 15.6% | 6.9% |
| Enzo Menditto | 28.3% | 26.1% | 21.3% | 13.9% | 8.0% | 2.3% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 13.2% | 19.1% | 49.2% |
| Blake Goodwin | 8.5% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 18.5% | 25.0% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.