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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.59+1.71vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy-0.65+2.69vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.46-0.39vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont-0.34+0.03vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52-0.57vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.97+0.62vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-1.89-0.61vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.58-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71Fairfield University0.5927.3%1st Place
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4.69Maine Maritime Academy-0.658.0%1st Place
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2.61Salve Regina University0.4629.0%1st Place
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4.03University of Vermont-0.3411.6%1st Place
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4.43University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.5210.0%1st Place
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6.62Middlebury College-1.971.8%1st Place
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6.39Brandeis University-1.892.9%1st Place
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4.52Bates College-0.589.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 27.3% | 24.2% | 20.5% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Griffin Stolp | 8.0% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 18.7% | 15.1% | 6.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 29.0% | 25.1% | 20.1% | 13.5% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ocean Smith | 11.6% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 18.6% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 8.1% | 2.6% |
| Marshall Rodes | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 18.6% | 16.3% | 12.9% | 4.2% |
| Aengus Onken | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 12.8% | 23.1% | 43.6% |
| Miles Laker | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 25.1% | 37.5% |
| Harrison Nash | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 17.3% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.