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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.13+3.12vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California3.12+0.61vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.15+1.14vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.92-1.07vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay0.19+2.04vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine2.34-2.23vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.20-1.25vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.18-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12University of Hawaii2.130.1%1st Place
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2.61University of Southern California3.120.3%1st Place
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4.14University of California at Santa Barbara2.150.1%1st Place
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2.93Stanford University2.920.2%1st Place
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7.04California State University Monterey Bay0.190.0%1st Place
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3.77University of California at Irvine2.340.1%1st Place
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5.75University of California at Los Angeles1.200.0%1st Place
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5.63University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaclyn McLoughlin | 10.7% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 18.4% | 14.4% | 9.4% | 2.8% |
| Emily Dahl | 30.9% | 23.3% | 20.0% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Morgane Renoir | 11.8% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 18.0% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 9.6% | 2.8% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 23.2% | 22.3% | 20.5% | 16.5% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Maryan Gonnerman | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 9.0% | 18.3% | 59.3% |
| Blair Johnston | 13.4% | 16.8% | 16.2% | 17.0% | 16.2% | 12.0% | 6.6% | 1.8% |
| Shannon Walker | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 17.7% | 28.4% | 17.3% |
| Megan Hayes | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 20.5% | 25.2% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.