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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.73+5.10vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.93+4.90vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+4.88vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.12+6.52vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.79+4.14vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.81+4.59vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.05+2.38vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.99+3.36vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.27-0.80vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.08-0.63vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.95-0.92vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.46-4.43vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute1.73-3.20vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.98-3.16vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-3.55vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.76-9.77vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.41-1.73vs Predicted
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18Florida State University1.95-7.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1Yale University2.7310.7%1st Place
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6.9Stanford University2.9310.1%1st Place
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7.88St. Mary's College of Maryland2.576.8%1st Place
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10.52Harvard University2.123.2%1st Place
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9.14Boston University1.795.9%1st Place
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10.59Old Dominion University1.813.8%1st Place
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9.38George Washington University2.055.3%1st Place
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11.36North Carolina State University1.993.2%1st Place
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8.2University of Hawaii2.276.9%1st Place
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9.37Bowdoin College2.085.1%1st Place
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10.08Connecticut College1.954.1%1st Place
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7.57Tulane University2.467.8%1st Place
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9.8Webb Institute1.735.3%1st Place
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10.84Fordham University1.983.4%1st Place
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11.45U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.542.9%1st Place
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6.23Georgetown University2.7610.8%1st Place
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15.27SUNY Maritime College0.410.9%1st Place
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10.32Florida State University1.954.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 10.7% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Parkin | 10.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 3.9% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% |
| Matt Logue | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Scott Harris | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Walter Henry | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 3.9% |
| Cameron Giblin | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Rayne Duff | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Porter Kavle | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% |
| Lucas Sawin | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 8.1% |
| Jack Reiter | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ben Hosford | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 13.2% | 47.9% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.