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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.90+6.00vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.34+6.74vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+3.79vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.99+5.66vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+5.76vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.01+1.40vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.32+1.90vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+0.62vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.42-0.89vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.10+2.69vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.20-2.82vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.23-2.12vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.42-2.49vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University1.97-3.33vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.85-7.80vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.06-1.85vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.88-5.78vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin2.02-7.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.0Dartmouth College2.909.2%1st Place
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8.74Boston College2.345.3%1st Place
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6.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.0%1st Place
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9.66Tufts University1.995.1%1st Place
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10.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.464.4%1st Place
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7.4U. S. Naval Academy3.018.9%1st Place
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8.9University of Miami2.325.1%1st Place
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8.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.3%1st Place
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8.11University of Pennsylvania2.427.0%1st Place
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12.69University of Rhode Island2.101.8%1st Place
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8.18University of California at Santa Barbara2.206.5%1st Place
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9.88College of Charleston2.235.1%1st Place
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10.51Roger Williams University2.423.7%1st Place
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10.67Jacksonville University1.975.1%1st Place
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7.2Brown University2.859.1%1st Place
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14.15University of Michigan1.061.4%1st Place
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11.22Cornell University1.883.2%1st Place
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10.52University of Wisconsin2.024.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Jake Vickers | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% |
| JC Hermus | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Jordan Bruce | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 18.2% |
| David Eastwood | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Brandon Geller | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% |
| Charlotte Rose | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 6.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Sherman Thompson | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 14.8% | 33.7% |
| Meredith Moran | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% |
| Christian Spencer | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.