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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.10+11.65vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.34+7.01vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.90+3.79vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.01+3.07vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.99+4.60vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.23+3.92vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.42+3.45vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+2.76vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.42-0.76vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.97+0.83vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.88+0.33vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-3.25vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.85-5.77vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.20-5.82vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.02-4.55vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.32-7.37vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-10.19vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.06-3.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.65University of Rhode Island2.102.1%1st Place
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9.01Boston College2.345.3%1st Place
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6.79Dartmouth College2.909.8%1st Place
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7.07U. S. Naval Academy3.018.8%1st Place
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9.6Tufts University1.995.5%1st Place
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9.92College of Charleston2.235.3%1st Place
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10.45Roger Williams University2.424.2%1st Place
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10.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.463.3%1st Place
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8.24University of Pennsylvania2.426.3%1st Place
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10.83Jacksonville University1.973.6%1st Place
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11.33Cornell University1.882.8%1st Place
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8.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.2%1st Place
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7.23Brown University2.858.8%1st Place
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8.18University of California at Santa Barbara2.206.4%1st Place
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10.45University of Wisconsin2.024.2%1st Place
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8.63University of Miami2.325.5%1st Place
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6.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.8%1st Place
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14.28University of Michigan1.061.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan naughton | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 16.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.8% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| JC Hermus | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Brandon Geller | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% |
| Jake Vickers | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.6% |
| Jordan Bruce | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Charlotte Rose | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.3% |
| Meredith Moran | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| David Eastwood | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Christian Spencer | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.8% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Sherman Thompson | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 33.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.