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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.46+6.45vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.95+8.24vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.93+3.81vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+3.93vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.05+4.41vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.12+4.51vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54+4.29vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.99+3.64vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.08+0.41vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.73-3.56vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.73-1.18vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii2.27-3.92vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.76-6.93vs Predicted
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14Florida State University1.95-3.55vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.79-6.00vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.98-5.07vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.41-1.89vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.81-7.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.45Tulane University2.467.5%1st Place
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10.24Connecticut College1.954.2%1st Place
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6.81Stanford University2.939.3%1st Place
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7.93St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.0%1st Place
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9.41George Washington University2.055.1%1st Place
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10.51Harvard University2.123.7%1st Place
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11.29U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.543.0%1st Place
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11.64North Carolina State University1.992.7%1st Place
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9.41Bowdoin College2.085.2%1st Place
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6.44Yale University2.7310.0%1st Place
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9.82Webb Institute1.734.5%1st Place
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8.08University of Hawaii2.277.2%1st Place
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6.07Georgetown University2.7611.8%1st Place
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10.45Florida State University1.953.5%1st Place
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9.0Boston University1.796.0%1st Place
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10.93Fordham University1.983.0%1st Place
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15.11SUNY Maritime College0.411.2%1st Place
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10.43Old Dominion University1.814.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Giblin | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Walter Henry | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.7% |
| Jack Parkin | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Matt Logue | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 7.6% |
| Scott Harris | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 8.6% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Jack Egan | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Rayne Duff | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Jack Reiter | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.3% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Porter Kavle | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 6.0% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 47.6% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.