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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+4.65vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+1.75vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.38+2.65vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.74+3.88vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.97+7.81vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.71+1.90vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.06-0.24vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-1.33vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.34-0.01vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.99-3.00vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.53-2.59vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.32-2.94vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.59-4.82vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-5.95vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College0.20-0.83vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.45-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.65Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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3.75Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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5.65Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.88Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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12.81Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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7.9Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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6.76Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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8.99Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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7.0University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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8.41Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
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9.06Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.18University of Rhode Island2.590.0%1st Place
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8.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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14.17Middlebury College0.200.0%1st Place
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15.08University of Connecticut-0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Donahue | 10.0% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 23.3% | 18.0% | 15.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Clawson | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 28.3% | 27.2% | 7.4% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Margaret Bacon | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Christina Lewis | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Pollick | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 14.3% | 37.8% | 29.6% |
| Sarah Warack | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 8.5% | 20.4% | 61.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.