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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+2.61vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.06+4.61vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+3.78vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.53+4.54vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+0.75vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.74+1.79vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.59+1.32vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.32+1.02vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-0.95vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.34-0.90vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.99-4.11vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.38-6.26vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.71-5.22vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College0.20+0.13vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.45+0.02vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.97-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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6.61Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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8.54Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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5.75Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.79Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.32University of Rhode Island2.590.1%1st Place
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9.02Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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9.1Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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6.89University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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5.74Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.78Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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14.13Middlebury College0.200.0%1st Place
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15.02University of Connecticut-0.450.0%1st Place
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12.88Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 23.3% | 18.5% | 16.6% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Christina Lewis | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Margaret Bacon | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Pollick | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 14.0% | 39.5% | 27.1% |
| Sarah Warack | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 6.3% | 22.6% | 61.8% |
| Mary Clawson | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 10.7% | 28.3% | 24.4% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.