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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.90+10.63vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.23+7.96vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+7.70vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+4.66vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.34+3.86vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.01+1.17vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-0.37vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.42+2.38vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.97+1.84vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.90-3.06vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.99-1.14vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.85-4.97vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.42-5.19vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.32-5.39vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.20-6.65vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.02-5.55vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.06-2.64vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.10-5.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.63Cornell University1.904.1%1st Place
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9.96College of Charleston2.234.4%1st Place
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10.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.463.5%1st Place
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8.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.4%1st Place
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8.86Boston College2.345.8%1st Place
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7.17U. S. Naval Academy3.019.6%1st Place
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6.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.2%1st Place
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10.38Roger Williams University2.423.9%1st Place
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10.84Jacksonville University1.973.5%1st Place
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6.94Dartmouth College2.909.3%1st Place
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9.86Tufts University1.994.5%1st Place
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7.03Brown University2.858.4%1st Place
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7.81University of Pennsylvania2.427.0%1st Place
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8.61University of Miami2.326.0%1st Place
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8.35University of California at Santa Barbara2.206.5%1st Place
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10.45University of Wisconsin2.023.8%1st Place
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14.36University of Michigan1.061.1%1st Place
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12.76University of Rhode Island2.102.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lilly Myers | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 8.9% |
| Brandon Geller | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.6% |
| Jake Vickers | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| JC Hermus | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% |
| Charlotte Rose | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| David Eastwood | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Christian Spencer | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% |
| Sherman Thompson | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 35.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.